Steals Per Game. Three-Point Field Goal Percentage. He has not been a great downfield passer for a while, lacking the precision he has shown in the short and intermediate areas of the field. Amazingly, Brett Hundley ranked eighth in accuracy on throws of 20 to 24 yards. Join our linker program. And after a long stretch of finishing last or second to last in critical defensive stats, New Orleanss defense is actually capable of winning the team games now. I love detailed breakdowns like this (boy, did I find this way late - guess this is for anyone else who also reads this late). Steph Currys Flowers, Him Vs. That Guy, and Round 2 Elation With J. Kyle Mann. Thats quite a large sample size. The big shock comes from the different situations faced by Texans quarterbacks Deshaun Watson and Tom Savage. I'm not sure I disagree with your overall feeling - but the problem with your argument is its all based on completion percentage. Outside of that, though, his accuracy to every other distance was dismal. In reply to Re: The Deep Ball Project by eggwasp. Russell Wilson was solid, but not nearly as efficient as in previous seasons. Theres not much to like about Haskins numbers from his rookie season except the mitigating circumstances that he was really without many viable passing targets, with only really rookie Terry McLaurin showing up reliably. On the 37 deep attempts after he got in the lineup, he didnt have a single turnover-worthy play or interception, even if his numbers became a little inflated by work done after the catch by the likes of A.J. For his career, 10.8 percent of Breess throws have been to targets deeper than 20 yards downfield. (These can be subjective or hard to dissect from miscommunications at first glance.). Jimmy Garoppolo (67.6%), 4. Even with perfect and unbiased film charting, I don't think this can be tracked. Recent and Trending topics from Football Outsiders. All rights reserved. Murrays deep pass was one of his strengths in college, and he showed that it should still be a notable strength in the NFL, especially if his receivers can win more consistently on the outside and give him more reliable places to go with the football. NFL Elo Ratings (163) 3fg%. Penalty Disciplined. Then there's the fact that the very *foundation* of this analysis is made of potentially dubious subjective judgement calls . Allen can get the ball as deep as he wants it pretty much any time he wants to, and though he dialed it back in Year 2, he still went deep at the sixth-highest rate in the league. That is 13.7 yards/attemp. drewbrees, PFR HOF Monitor: 140.58 (7th among QB, average HOF QB is 104.14). Brissett was known for his poor deep passing in college. Jimmy Garoppolo had the highest percentage of clean pockets. NAME SEASON TM GP PCT CMP ATT YDS AVG YDS/G TD TD% INT INT% SCK SCKY RATE; Drew Brees: 2001: SD. After all the passes are tallied up, the final number of points is divided by the amount of downfield passes. He didnt have a single turnover-worthy play on 49 deep shots as a rookie thats impressive. (Ed. The SPORTS REFERENCE and STATHEAD trademarks are owned exclusively by Sports Reference LLC. Steelers, Rams Set Offensive Line Continuity Records, XFL Week 7 Preview: St. Louis, Houston Scrap for Second, Most Overvalued Players in a 2023 Fantasy Football Draft, Rams Limp to the Front of 2022's DVOA Underachievers, XFL Week 6 Review: D.C. The SPORTS REFERENCE and STATHEAD trademarks are owned exclusively by Sports Reference LLC. Suddenly, Smith was throwing the ball downfield more consistently. Allen was awful when it came to deep passing, but Bridgewater much like Carr was actually good at it when he convinced himself to actually throw deep. Turnovers Per Game. Todd McShay breaks down the Eagles' draft that netted them Jalen Carter and Nolan Smith among others. I never said the QB shouldn't throw the jump ball. The average accuracy rate for this year's Deep Ball Project was 48.1 percent, while the average efficiency score was 0.99. That results in the quarterback's efficiency score. Clicking on player names below will bring you to a more expanded section with more stats over at the Deep Ball Project website. Terms of Use | Privacy Policy | Cookie Policy | Responsible Gaming, Support Football Outsiders' independent media. Which teams crushed the draft, and which came up short? I just said you should give credit to the WR for allowing the QB to make an easier read and throw because when that WR gets hurt or leaves in free agency, that ability goes with him. The best thing that can be said about Mitchell Trubiskys deep passing is that its no worse than his regular passing, and his PFF grade ranks around the same place in either scenario. It is highly recommended that you use the latest versions of a supported browser in order to receive an optimal viewing experience. 2023 NFL Enterprises LLC. He had just 48 deep attempts last season, which was one of the lower deep shot rates (9.4%) in the league. Obviously different definitions of accurate could result in differing accurate-pass totals (John's total-sample Acc% was 4.9% more), but looking at QBs who didn't play in the playoffs (I wasn't sure if those were included here), this study had over 100 less attempts than Cian's. And, just looking through Stampede Blue a Colts fan site, I could find no praise of Brissett as a deep passer and a fair amount of criticism. Burrow had just two turnover-worthy plays on 83 deep shots, and though his arm is far from the strongest in his draft class (let alone in the entire NFL), he has the other skills to still be an effective deep passer. Darnold is now entering his third season of football with as many questions surrounding his prospects as there were when he was drafted. It would be great if the author would reveal which specific throws by quarterbacks were graded as accurate incompletions, or inaccurate completions. To try and keep this relevant to all 32 NFL teams, we dug into the past a little bit for numbers on certain quarterbacks while the rest are 2019 numbers only. Drew Brees Career Stats | StatMuse Drew Brees Authentic voice 6'0", 209 lbs Saints QB PCT 67.7 YDS 80,358 TD 571 RATE 98.7 Career Overview Stats Game Log Splits Bio Explore Drew Brees rookie season stats When was Drew Brees drafted? Logos were compiled by the amazing SportsLogos.net. With no Roethlisberger for almost all of last season, we have pulled up his 2018 statistics to include him on the list. Can Phoenix generate enough easy offense to keep up with Denver? Instagram: New Orleanss leading receiver this season by no small margin has been Kamara, whos tracking to be one of only five primary running backs to lead a team in receiving yards since 2006, according to ESPNs Stats & Information Group. Drew Brees had a passer rating of 97.1 with 5,366 yards, 37 touchdowns and 15 interceptions in 18 games in the playoffs in his career. It has been no secret that Alex Smith's career, for the most part, has been defined by his safe style of playing quarterback. Let's consider that the Eagles gave Nick Foles the second-highest rate of play-action when Wentz was lost for the season. Drew Brees, (born January 15, 1979, Dallas, Texas, U.S.), American gridiron football quarterback who was one of the most prolific passers in National Football League (NFL) history and set numerous single-season and career passing records, including the all-time marks for pass completions, passing yards, and passing touchdowns. Watch our How-To Videos to Become a Stathead, Subscribe to Stathead and get access to more data than you can imagine. Only Garoppolo threw deep less often, even adjusting for the games he missed injured, and by late in the year his arm looked alarmingly weak. Allen needs to find the touch to go with that cannon because its frankly inexcusable that a player with his kind of arm talent is this bad at passing deep. An "inaccurate" throw might be the QB prioritizing a safe throw instead of an "accurate" throw that's more likely to be intercepted as well as completed. Some of it comes down to Kamaras unique talent as a receiver; no other running back is even close to being as valuable a pass catcher, according to Football Outsiders Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement metric. Stephen A. Smith details why Lamar Jackson is better positioned for a Super Bowl run than Aaron Rodgers. While Winston went deep on 15.8% of his dropbacks (fourth), Fitzpatrick was all the way down in 16th at 12.9%. The following browsers are supported: Chrome, Edge (v80 and later), Firefox and Safari. Plays where the receiver catches the ball but has it knocked out of his hands. Jeff Legwold explains why the Broncos picked up Jerry Jeudy's rookie option. What, Exactly, Is the Detroit Lions Plan? In reply to Re: The Deep Ball Project by ChrisS. For what it's worth, though, he handled the change to a vertical offense really well. As always seems to be the case, Matt Ryans overall play was better than the box score numbers would indicate. How many games does Drew Lock play? Plus, a Full NFL Draft Reaction. Did he peak in October or so and then decline? Peyton Manning vs Drew Brees Statistical Comparison. What To Do About A Problem Like Dianne Feinstein? Steph Curry Snuffed Out the Beam. Could Stetson Bennett Be the Next Brock Purdy? His accuracy was 15th with good pass protection, but was second-to-last under pressure. The main question here is whether the pass was really off target or adjusted away from coverage. Completion percentage is a highly valued stat in football, and while that's included in the Deep Ball Project, a greater emphasis is played on accuracy percentage. Because some of the accuracy percentages achieved by the subjective grading system are radically different from the percentages based on straightforward completions/attempts. John Kinsley is on Twitter @brickwallblitz. As Brees is close to catching Manning in some records thought I would put a comparison together between the two Qbs. His overall accuracy wasn't spectacular, but it was still good. If Tyrod wants to keep that job longer than people expect, he needs to up his efficiency on those deep targets. looked back at the QBs career attempts to targets deeper than 35 yards downfield. As Lukas Matsson closes in on the acquisition of Waystar, Kendall pitches a revolutionary product: fancy retirement homes? for example. The success levels for other short-tossing quarterbacks have varied. In 2018, he went 1-for-8. SackSEER 2023: Is Tyree Wilson Overrated? Seth Galina of Pro Football Focus highlighted this play, calling it the best seam-thrower of all time passing up one of the most open seam throws of his life.. His completion rate was good, but six turnover-worthy plays hurt him overall, with five of those plays resulting in an interception. Logos were compiled by the amazing SportsLogos.net. Tyrod Taylor, like Smith, wasn't spectacular in accuracy but took outrageously good care of the football despite playing with arguably the worst receiving corps in the league, poor pass protection, and the second-highest rate of tight windows in the league. Prescott's sophomore season has gotten a reputation as being a step down from his rookie campaign, but his downfield accuracy was actually terrific. Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints 48.4% completion percentage, 13.0 yards per attempt, 107.2 Passer Rating Few players throw a better deep ball than Drew Brees when he's at his best, but as he ages, his effectiveness and frequency of deep passing has declined. It appears to be a strong argument, unlike everything else you said. The browser you are using is no longer supported on this site. Falcons. New Orleans Saints (52) ESPN profiled Breess offseason attempts to maintain his arm strength back in August. (Was there THAT big of a difference in 15/16 yard "hard to tell" discrepancies? He led the league in completion rate on these passes by over 10 percentage points and in adjusted completion rate by 20 percentage points. Drew Brees NFL News & Stats. Best Known For: NFL quarterback Drew Brees . How many passing yards does Drew Lock have? My Wish 2007 Drew Brees - Devan Muller meets Drew Brees, Brees fires up LSU baseball with old Saints hype speech. PoY according to Football Outsiders Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement, all-important race for the AFCs top overall seed. *Ranking among Week 8 starters, according to our QB Elo ratings. Saints' Michael Thomas seemingly trolled Drew Brees on Twitter during NFC Championship Game Thomas' tweets infer that Brees not being able to throw the deep ball hurt the Saints By. Outside of throws of 40-plus yards, Nick Foles ' accuracy was lacking. Every throw that reaches at least 16 yards in the air is constituted as a downfield pass. Jacoby Brissett has never been an aggressive quarterback, but lack of aggression combined with inefficiency when you actually take the shot is a first-class ticket to a backup role. Birth date: January 15, 1979. We present them here for purely educational purposes. Jimmy Garoppolo has an excellent grade on these plays, but he attempted just 31 deep shots all season the fewest among full-time starting quarterbacks. Murray had just two turnover-worthy plays on 62 deep attempts a season ago. Theyll also serve as a test for whether New Orleans can live up to its solid Super Bowl odds, despite deploying such a limited passing attack. Only Jimmy Garoppolo who benefits hugely from the scheme in San Francisco when it comes to deep shots had a higher adjusted completion rate on deep passes than Deshaun Watson last season. In that August story about Brees's. Join our linker program. The Ravens are declining linebacker Patrick Queen's fifth-year option, a source told ESPN. With CeeDee Lamb added to the mix this year, he could appear even higher on this list come next season. All other NFL-related trademarks are trademarks of the National Football League. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. Cooks caught seven 50-yard touchdowns from Brees. 3pg. When was Drew Brees drafted? Copyright 2000-2023 Sports Reference LLC. Rodgers may be a declining version of the player we saw some years back, but he is still capable of things few others are. Overview; News; Stats; Bio; . Taylor throws a pretty deep pass, and he used to drop dimes with regularity early in his career. This is the fourth edition of the Deep Ball Project, which of course means I have been doing this since 2014. Case Keenum was the least efficient downfield passer, surprising since he led the league in overall passing DVOA. 2009 Bert Bell Award (Player of the Year), Frequently Asked Questions about the NFL and Football, Pro-Football-Reference.com Blog and Articles, Subscribe to Stathead Football: Get your first month FREE. Kizer had six red zone interceptions, twice as many as any other quarterback, even though he had only 43 red zone attempts, 28th in the league. And using a fanboard of evidence of anything is silly. His dominance came in short bursts and prolonged excellence: He holds the record for most touchdown passes in a game and in a career. Drew Brees threw for 465 yards in the Saints' 41-38 victory over the Panthers, setting an NFL record with the 15th 400-yard passing game of his career. [Editors note:Subscribe to PFF ELITE todayto gain access to PFFsPremium Statsand newPlayer Grades experiencein addition to the2020 NFL Draft Guide,2020 Fantasy Rookie Scouting Report,PFF Greenline, all of PFFs premium article content and more.]. The success Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers had should not be a surprise, as they have consistently ranked as two of the absolute best downfield passers in the Deep Ball Project's history. The Chicago Bears, New Orleanss Week 8 opponent, have the NFLs sixth-ranked defense by EPA (and are fourth-best against the pass), so theyll surely be a tough opponent for Brees and the Saints short-passing scheme. All logos are the trademark & property of their owners and not Sports Reference LLC. He actually carries the No. I haven't seen an explanation if how this is determined. After Stills, New Orleans used a first-round pick on Brandin Cooks, who ran a 4.33-second 40-yard dash. Get complete game-by-game stats for quarterback Drew Brees on ESPN. Jacoby Brissett's accuracy was below average to open windows, but he was easily the best tight-window passer downfield, with an incredible 65.9 percent of his passes to tight windows being accurate. Three-point Field Goals Made Per Game. Trevor Siemian trailed him with the second-highest rate, which is not surprising considering how poor the Denver Broncos' offensive line is. Projections. In that August story about Breess offseason program, ESPN looked back at the QBs career attempts to targets deeper than 35 yards downfield. The Giants will be hoping that having his receiving corps healthy and together will help in Year 2. Is there some other bias we can't possibly see with a couple of potentially cherry picked examples? *Numbers taken from the 2016-19 NFL seasons. Next is how accurate each quarterback fared in certain scenarios such as clean pockets, pressure, off-balance throws, into open windows, and into tight windows, while also looking at inaccurate completions and accurate incompletions. Breess throwing coach, Tom House, bragged to ESPN that this summer, Brees had built up his arm to the point where he was throwing the ball 57, 58 yards without even trying. Brees used to throw the ball that deep in games. So he is not only as productive as Brisset but additionally gets you another 650 yards at a great yards per attemp rate. Coming in at No. Drew Brees (13) Brees resents the implication that this development will prevent the Saints from contending. Sometimes the only way to have chance at a completion, due to the coverage, is to force the receiver to adjust to the ball. For instance, suppose a quarterback throws an accurate pass of 40-plus yards. Stafford passed for six deep touchdowns but had 16 big-time throws, and he perhaps deserved a little more when it came to putting points on the board from his passes. And as expected, he couldn't even compare to Aaron Rodgers. Which Rough NFL Starts Are Salvageable, and Which Are Season-Enders? He had zero inaccurate completions, and his accuracy was extremely successful against pressure and into tight windows. Football Outsiders content published by ESPN. But the days of Brees sprinkling in an occasional shot over the top seem to be over. Big shock coming from a Bill Belichick-coached offense, I know. (Matt Ryan is proof that quarterbacks can throw interceptions that aren't on them.). The Broncos on Monday picked up wide receiver Jerry Jeudy's fifth-year rookie option. Prescott threw for the third-most yards on these plays and had the third-most completions. How much can Joel Embiid give the Sixers against the Celtics? Similar to how most extreme short passers struggle to post efficient numbers, the other offenses whose receiving corps were led by running backs tended to grade as mediocre, according to schedule-adjusted expected points added (EPA). Exclusive Premium Content For Subscribers. There are 2-3 gif examples for every QB at his full website, including each QB's best downfield throw in his opinion: https://brickwallblitz.com/2018/03/28/the-2017-18-deep-ball-project/, In reply to Re: The Deep Ball Project by Toner. Infamous in prior seasons for checking the ball down, Alex Smith's 2017 saw him throw the deep ball with better touch than ever before. Drew Lock is 6-4 (193 cm) tall. In 59 games, he threw for a total of 12,348 yards, 80 touchdowns and 53 interceptions. Good for 21 yards per deep ball attempt. Use without license or authorization is expressly prohibited. @Neil_Paine, NFL (976 posts) What really helped him was that he took good care of the football and had solid all-around accuracy percentages, which means he wasn't punished outside of the inaccurate completions. Arguably the best quarterback in football right now, Patrick Mahomes was a devastating deep passer in 2019 despite battling through a series of injuries throughout the year. Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? Its not like he just presented his results, he showed his methodology on how he got there. Kyler Murray is tied with Brees at 51 percent. Jimmy Garoppolo was the most accurate quarterback under pressure, making an accurate pass on every single pressure play on downfield attempts. Plays where the receiver fails to keep two feet in bounds or in the end zone. Tom Brady had 1889 adjusted yards. We have tools and resources that can help you use sports data. So you're saying that accurate measurement of QB performance isn't possible then, because the QB can't be credited or criticized for making the smart play? So here's how each area of the field is handled in that regard: One additional point will be handed out if the accurate pass was delivered under pressure or in a tight window (where the quarterback has much less margin for error). It has been a magic act worth appreciating. Get complete game-by-game stats for quarterback Drew Brees on ESPN. His arm strength has steadily declined in recent seasons, and last year, his passes traveled shorter distances than any other NFL quarterback, with an intended air yards per target of 6.4 yards. These subjective to objective metrics never seem very accurate to me. On 84 attempts. Luck, in 2016 and throwing to many of the same receivers (Hilton, Moncrief, Doyle), completed 26 of 55 attempts over 20 yards. Both teams have strong playoff odds each sits in excess of 94 percent but the contest could have huge implications on not just the AFC North derby but also the all-important race for the AFCs top overall seed.
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